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Is Iran Facing the Pre-Revolutionary Era?

Iran may be entering one of its most volatile periods of internal unrest since the fall of the Shah. As has been the case throughout history, the root cause of these protests is the regime’s failure to provide the most basic necessities: water, electricity, bread, and dignity. The current uprising is not just about ideology or foreign meddling it is about survival.


A powerful example of this sentiment comes from a report titled “No Light, No Water, No Future,” published by the Foreign Affairs Committee of the National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI). The report captures the core of what is fueling the unrest: widespread shortages, systemic neglect, and the government’s inability to respond to urgent public needs.


Summary Table: Major Protest Locations and Dates

City/Province

Date(s)

Nature of Protest & Scale

Nationwide (155 cities in all 31 provinces

22 May to 2 June 2025 – The date of compilation of this report – Ongoing

Truck drivers’ strike: Began in Bandar Abbas 19 May, rapidly expanded to 155 cities; paralyzed road transport, disrupted food/fuel supply, caused deserted highways, triggered solidarity from retirees, farmers, bakers.


Tehran

Jan–May 2025

Retirees, bakers, truckers, students, blackouts, water cuts

Mashhad

24 May 2025

Bakers’ protest (met with tear gas), retirees, truckers

Shiraz

8 May 2025

Bakers’ protest, agricultural losses, water crisis

Qazvin

6 May 2025

Bakers’ protest, industrial losses

Nesim Shahr

22 May 2025

Bakers’ protest, water shortages

Arak

13 May 2025

Bakers’ protest, industrial workers

Kerman

May 2025

Bakers’ protest

Bandar Abbas

18 May 2025

Start of truck drivers’ strike

Isfahan

May 2025

Truckers, farmers, water crisis (drying of Zayandehrood river)

Sanandaj

May 2025

Truckers, students, regime violence

Ahvaz

May 2025

Truckers, retirees, industrial workers, water crisis

Kermanshah

May 2025

Truckers, retirees, regime violence

Bushehr

17 May 2025

Water crisis, protests over water prices

Chabahar

22 May 2025

Water crisis, women-led protests

Khonj/Kazeroon

23-24 May 2025

Farmers block roads, protest well shutdowns

Ilam, Sistan-Baluchestan

May 2025

Farmers, water crisis, regime repression

Tabriz

May 2025

Student sit-ins, blackouts

Zahedan

May 2025

Sanitation workers, executions, regime violence

Shahr-e Kord

May 2025

Workers, vendors, regime repression

Yazd

May 2025

Protests

Iran’s Protest Movement and the Forgotten Ethnic Divide


The protests we mentioned earlier have found their way into nearly every corner of Iran  from Kerman and Kermanshah to Ardabil. According to the People’s Mojahedin Organization of Iran, on June 9, protests erupted in Kermanshah, where retirees of the Telecommunications Company of Iran (TCI) gathered to demand their long-overdue pensions and denounce years of financial mismanagement.


Their chants said it all:

•“Retirees, rise up, shout for your rights!”

•“The Setad (Execution of Khomeini’s Order) has stolen our pensions!”

•“14 years of treachery, shame on you!”

•“The TCI obeys no laws!”


These chants are a clear reflection of a regime that no longer thinks about its people. For years, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and his inner circle have neither contributed to the development of Iran nor offered a dignified life to its citizens. Instead, they’ve prioritized preserving their grip on power. As one baker in Ahvaz put it: “The lights never go out at the military barracks.” That quote sums it up — the regime keeps the army running while homes go dark.


Across Iran, from Mashhad to Kermanshah, the chants echo common demands:

•“Bread, dignity, freedom!”

•“The enemy is right here they lie when they say it’s America!”


But in Sanandaj, Ilam, and Kermanshah  Kurdish-majority provinces  the tone is even more defiant, and for good reason.



The Kurdish Factor: Layers of Repression


Kurds in Iran have long lived under a regime that not only neglects them but actively works to erase them. According to Amnesty International’s 2024 report, following the Women, Life, Freedom uprising, the regime increased its use of the death penalty, often targeting ethnic minorities  especially Kurds.


The United Nations has also reported widespread extrajudicial killings, arbitrary arrests, and repression of language and culture. Today, Kurds make up an estimated 15–18 million of Iran’s population — but you won’t find these numbers in official government reports.


Why? Because the government doesn’t want the world to know. Even international researchers face limitations. According to Mohammed Karwani, director of the Kurdish Institute in Switzerland, after confidential talks with UN officials, he estimated the number to be 18,281,137 Kurds in Iran. He noted that this figure may include Luri populations — ethno linguistically close to Kurds — who live in the southern Zagros Mountains.


This includes:


•Half of Khuzestan

•All of Bakhtiari and Boyar-Ahmad

•One-third of Bushehr

•Large portions of Fars


According to Yale University’s Kurdish studies, Luri and Kurdish groups share cultural, linguistic, and historical ties. Yet over time, Iranian policy has strategically blurred the lines between the two — not to unify them, but to divide and dilute their identities.



Assimilation by Design: How Iran Rewrote Ethnicity


Iranian dynasties  especially the Safavids and Pahlavis  used tactics like forced deportation, ethnic reclassification, and linguistic suppression to weaken Kurdish influence. One of the most notable examples was the Safavid policy of relocating tribes to break up Kurdish strongholds.


In provinces like Lorestan, Ilam, and Khuzestan, distinctions between Kurds and Lurs were intentionally politicized. Over generations, many communities once classified as Kurdish were rebranded as Luri through state-imposed identities, despite tribal and linguistic records that show otherwise.


For example:

•The Bakhtiari region is often classified as Luri, yet its capital is Shahr-e-Kord, meaning “City of Kurds.”

•In the north Zagros, Laki (spoken by northern Lurs) is nearly indistinguishable from Kurdish dialects.

•In the southern Zagros, assimilation has been more successful: many Luri speakers


now identify closer to Persian, particularly in Bushehr, Fars, and southern Khuzestan.


In schools across these regions, Luri children are taught they are Persian, furthering the cultural erasure. Some websites and state-endorsed sources now incorrectly define Lurs as Persian, despite their roots in the Northwestern Iranian language family, just like the Kurds.


Even historical texts like the Sharafnama — written in Persian for political reasons document dozens of tribes whose linguistic and cultural roots are Kurdish, despite later being categorized otherwise. Recent studies from IRLP Journal of Kurdish Studies break this down in detail, tracing tribal affiliations, language trees, and assimilation policies.



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